A Real Estate agent's grasp of market values is intuitively based both on current asking prices and what's been observed in the past. In today's inconsistent climate it is more important than ever to study different sectors and try to understand not only where prices have been but where they're likely to go in the near future. Currently available reports are:
40s East One Bedrooms
30s East One Bedrooms
Greenwich Village Studios
Greenwich Village One Bedrooms
Why would the seller of a 2 bedroom apartment on the Upper East Side be remotely interested in prices of Greenwich Village Studios? The goal is to try to provide some idea of market conditions in Manhattan. This is more concrete than the usual quotes such as "The average price of an apartment is $1,000,000" as many in the industry have relied on in recent years.
Along the way we'll also point out some of the more interesting specifics. The Manhattan market today includes apartments that are closing for below peak prices, significantly far below peak and in a smaller percentage even far, far above peak prices.
Please feel free to email us at mark.neuwirth@gmail.com with any questions you might have.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Thursday, August 6, 2009
Greenwich Village $300K-$600K
Click here for our updated market study of Greenwich Village walk up apartments currently available asking from $300K-$600K. This report provides a higher level overview of the bigger picture as of August 6th, 2009. Please let us know if you have any questions.
We respect your right to privacy. To be removed from this list please email mark.neuwirth@gmail.com.
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
Lowballing Turns Predatory - The Real Deal Magazine
The Real Deal is one of our more widely read trade magazines. The recent article "Lowballing Turns Predatory" paints a picture of buyers being in control at all times. This piece talks about offers being made 40% below the ask price and buyers making offers on multiple properties. How accurate is this picture?
Generalizing can obscure the facts. As a downtown specialist under $1M I can safely say the reality is much closer to the following:
1) Inventory has remained somewhat stable, particularly in the sub $500K range. We have not seen the normal influx of new apartments on the market at the beginning of the year. This doesn't mean the existing inventory is moving, just that the number of new properties coming on the market is less than the average for this time of year.
2) Interest rates have moved much lower in the past few weeks - as of this writing below 5%. Several buyers I've been working with have noticed how much more they can afford now per month, and of course this makes a big difference.
3) Sellers have begun to realize they really can't ask any price they want and hope to get traffic, let alone bids. There have been some significant price reductions and some apartments must be considered fairly priced.
4) There are some buyers out there. These are generally people who have not been directly effected by Wall Street's meltdown, both because they didn't work in a bank and also because they haven't lost significant money in the stock market.
5) As the weather improves more people decide to look for apartments. During the colder months of the year less buyers are inclined to shlep out in the snow to look.
The other important point the article makes is about how 'trigger-shy' buyer are even after an offer has been accepted. Reports of people walking away from deposits or simply not signing contracts are common. This piece also doesn't mention the ever growing challenges even qualified buyers can face in getting a mortgage or gaining board approval.
It would seem the stage has been set for some activity in the next several months. What is completely clear is that the seller's margin for error has never narrower. There simply isn't room for bad marketing, incorrect pricing or other various mistakes far to numerous to mention.
Generalizing can obscure the facts. As a downtown specialist under $1M I can safely say the reality is much closer to the following:
1) Inventory has remained somewhat stable, particularly in the sub $500K range. We have not seen the normal influx of new apartments on the market at the beginning of the year. This doesn't mean the existing inventory is moving, just that the number of new properties coming on the market is less than the average for this time of year.
2) Interest rates have moved much lower in the past few weeks - as of this writing below 5%. Several buyers I've been working with have noticed how much more they can afford now per month, and of course this makes a big difference.
3) Sellers have begun to realize they really can't ask any price they want and hope to get traffic, let alone bids. There have been some significant price reductions and some apartments must be considered fairly priced.
4) There are some buyers out there. These are generally people who have not been directly effected by Wall Street's meltdown, both because they didn't work in a bank and also because they haven't lost significant money in the stock market.
5) As the weather improves more people decide to look for apartments. During the colder months of the year less buyers are inclined to shlep out in the snow to look.
The other important point the article makes is about how 'trigger-shy' buyer are even after an offer has been accepted. Reports of people walking away from deposits or simply not signing contracts are common. This piece also doesn't mention the ever growing challenges even qualified buyers can face in getting a mortgage or gaining board approval.
It would seem the stage has been set for some activity in the next several months. What is completely clear is that the seller's margin for error has never narrower. There simply isn't room for bad marketing, incorrect pricing or other various mistakes far to numerous to mention.
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
What's The Message?
Advertising in Real Estate is always about sending a message - regardless of the sender's intentions. In this case we can see light but little else. How many times have you seen ads for apartments with very dark rooms? How about blurry pictures?
Every ad is an important opportunity to make a first impression on a buyer.
Here are some of their possible thoughts:
1) "I don't get it. Next!".
2) "I'm looking for a good amount of space and this looks very small. Next!".
3) "Wow, this looks great! Let me check out the other info."
Scenarios 1 and 2 are obviously bad for sellers but there may actually be a good side to having bad marketing. Savy buyers and agents can see this weakness and may be more motivated to view and bid on the apartment.
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
20s East One Bedroom Report
While the average price of an apartment is reported to be over $1,000,000 this probably has little to do with homeowners under $1,000,000. Somewhat more applicable is this report 'East 20s One Bdrm Current Market Study'. This spreadsheet depicts current and closed sales of typical Coop one bedrooms in postwar buildings with a doorman and elevator. These prices are somewhat stable and comparably easier to measure than some products with more variance. It can give pointers to the overall monthly performance of the market in this price range.
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Sellers - Why Use A Broker?
During the negotiations for listing with me an owner mentioned he wanted some buyers excluded from the agreement. One of these people had come to an open house for one of my listings in the area.
I helped this buyer to learn about the market, guided him to the right apartment and used my experience to ensure his deal went to contract.
Most buyers are unsure about many things. They face the daunting tasks of dealing with Coop Boards, banks, lawyers, understanding prices etc. The hand of a good Agent can be seen behind deals that close efficiently for a correct market value.
I helped this buyer to learn about the market, guided him to the right apartment and used my experience to ensure his deal went to contract.
Most buyers are unsure about many things. They face the daunting tasks of dealing with Coop Boards, banks, lawyers, understanding prices etc. The hand of a good Agent can be seen behind deals that close efficiently for a correct market value.
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